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How Startups Can Leverage Tax Benefits for Growth

Starting a business is an exciting journey, but with the thrill of building something new comes the challenge of managing finances — and taxes are a crucial part of that. For startups in Pakistan, understanding and utilizing tax benefits can unlock significant savings, boost cash flow, and support long-term growth.

Surprisingly, many entrepreneurs overlook tax planning. Why? Either the laws seem too complicated, or they simply don’t know what benefits are available. That’s where professional tax consultants in Pakistan and Income Tax Consultancy services come in — helping startups navigate the tax landscape and make the most of available incentives.

In this blog, we’ll break down how startups can leverage tax benefits for growth and build a tax-efficient business model.


🚀 Why Tax Planning is Crucial for Startups

Tax planning isn’t just about filing your returns once a year — it’s a strategic approach to minimize tax liabilities while ensuring compliance with the law. For startups, effective tax planning can:

  • Preserve cash flow by reducing tax expenses.
  • Reinvest savings into business operations, fueling growth.
  • Avoid penalties by ensuring timely and accurate tax compliance.
  • Attract investors by maintaining transparent financial records.

By collaborating with tax consultants in Pakistan, startups can better understand their tax obligations and unlock incentives designed to support business growth.


✅ Key Tax Benefits Available for Startups in Pakistan

Let’s dive into some of the top tax benefits Pakistani startups can tap into:

1. Tax Exemptions for IT and Tech Startups

If your startup operates in the IT or software sector, you may qualify for:

  • 100% tax exemption on profits for up to 3 years for newly registered IT startups with the Pakistan Software Export Board (PSEB).
  • Reduced tax rates for IT exports — currently capped at 0.25% on export revenue.
  • Tax credits for establishing IT infrastructure and staff training.

Pro tip: Work with an Income Tax Consultancy to ensure you meet all registration requirements and claim these benefits without errors.


2. Tax Credits for Investment in Machinery and Equipment

Startups investing in plant, machinery, or IT equipment can claim:

  • 10% tax credit on the investment amount, lowering taxable income.
  • Depreciation allowances — allowing you to spread asset costs over time, reducing your yearly tax bill.

This is especially helpful for tech startups, manufacturing units, or e-commerce businesses investing in infrastructure.


3. R&D Tax Credits

If innovation is at the core of your startup, don’t miss out on Research and Development (R&D) tax credits:

  • 50% tax credit on R&D expenses related to scientific or technological advancements.
  • Eligible costs may include lab equipment, software development, and employee salaries tied to R&D projects.

Tracking these expenses with the help of tax consultants in Pakistan ensures you never miss a valuable credit.


4. Tax Relief for Losses Carried Forward

Not all startups are profitable right away — and that’s okay! Pakistan’s tax laws allow businesses to:

  • Carry forward business losses for up to 6 years to offset future profits.

Why does this matter? If you experience losses in the early years, you can use them to reduce taxable income once your startup becomes profitable — a smart way to plan ahead.

Pro tip: An Income Tax Consultancy can help you structure your finances so these losses translate into future tax savings.


5. Reduced Withholding Tax for Filers

Being on the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR)’s Active Taxpayer List (ATL) comes with perks:

  • Lower withholding tax rates on contracts, services, and payments.
  • Exemptions from higher tax rates imposed on non-filers.

Ensuring your startup is listed on the ATL keeps you eligible for these reductions and prevents unnecessary deductions from your income.


📈 How to Maximize Your Startup’s Tax Benefits

Knowing about tax benefits is just the first step — using them effectively is where the real magic happens. Here’s how to make the most of them:

1. Properly Register Your Business

The first step to claiming any tax benefit is ensuring your business is properly registered. Depending on your structure — sole proprietorship, partnership, or private limited company — tax treatments will differ.

A tax consultant in Pakistan can guide you through:

  • Choosing the right business structure for maximum tax efficiency.
  • Registering with the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) if needed.
  • Getting your startup listed on the ATL for reduced tax rates.

2. Keep Accurate Financial Records

Good record-keeping is non-negotiable. Without clear documentation, claiming deductions, credits, or exemptions becomes a struggle. Ensure you track:

  • R&D expenses
  • Equipment purchases
  • Employee salaries and benefits
  • Tax-deductible business expenses like rent, utilities, and marketing

Hiring a professional Income Tax Consultancy ensures your records are audit-ready and compliant with FBR regulations.


3. Claim All Eligible Deductions and Credits

Don’t leave money on the table. Common deductions startups often miss include:

  • Training and skill development costs
  • Business travel expenses
  • Software subscriptions
  • Interest on business loans

A tax consultant in Pakistan will identify every deduction and credit your business qualifies for, so you can maximize your savings.


4. Seek Expert Tax Consultancy

Tax laws are complicated and constantly evolving. Partnering with an Income Tax Consultancy helps you:

  • Stay updated with the latest tax incentives.
  • File accurate and timely tax returns.
  • Create long-term tax strategies tailored to your startup’s growth.

Instead of scrambling during tax season, you’ll have a proactive plan that supports both compliance and cost-saving.


🎯 Final Thoughts: Fuel Your Startup’s Growth with Smart Tax Planning

For startups in Pakistan, leveraging tax benefits isn’t just about cutting costs — it’s about building a sustainable financial foundation for future growth. From tax exemptions and investment credits to R&D incentives and loss carry-forwards, using the right strategies can strengthen your cash flow and accelerate success.

However, the key lies in expertise. Partnering with professional tax consultants in Pakistan and investing in Income Tax Consultancy ensures you claim every benefit you’re entitled to — without risking errors or penalties.

👉 Ready to optimize your startup’s tax strategy? Contact Tola Associates today for personalized tax planning solutions and watch your business grow — tax-efficiently.

Staying Updated with Corporate Law Amendments in Pakistan

Staying updated with corporate law amendments is crucial for businesses in Pakistan. Recent changes in corporate laws directly impact how companies operate, pay taxes, and comply with legal requirements. For business owners, entrepreneurs, and corporate leaders, understanding these updates is essential to avoid penalties and make the most of tax-saving opportunities.

In this blog, we will break down the latest amendments in Pakistan’s corporate laws and explain how partnering with tax consultants in Pakistan and seeking professional income tax consultancy can help your business stay compliant and financially efficient.

Why Corporate Law Amendments Matter

Corporate law governs the way businesses are formed, managed, and taxed. Amendments to these laws often focus on:

  • Tax obligations – Changes in corporate tax rates, deductions, and tax benefits.
  • Compliance requirements – Stricter rules for filing tax returns and financial statements.
  • Business transparency – Ensuring companies report accurate information about their ownership and profits.

Failing to comply with these new regulations can result in heavy fines, audits, or even the suspension of business operations. To avoid these risks, many companies now rely on tax consultants in Pakistan for guidance.

Key Amendments in Pakistan’s Corporate Laws (2025)

Corporate Tax Rate Revisions

The Finance Act 2025 introduced adjustments to corporate tax rates:

  • Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs): Reduced tax rates to support business growth and innovation.
  • Non-compliant companies: Increased tax rates for businesses failing to file tax returns or meet legal requirements.

What this means for businesses: If your business qualifies as an SME, you can now benefit from lower tax rates. However, companies that neglect their tax responsibilities could face higher rates and penalties.

Tip: A professional income tax consultancy can help you determine your business’s tax category and strategize to minimize your tax burden.

Mandatory E-Filing of Tax Returns

The government has made e-filing of income tax returns compulsory for all registered companies. This aims to:

  • Simplify tax submissions
  • Increase transparency
  • Reduce tax evasion

Why this matters: Manual filing is no longer an option—businesses must switch to digital platforms for tax reporting. Many companies are turning to tax consultants in Pakistan for assistance with this transition, ensuring accuracy and timely submissions.

Beneficial Ownership Disclosure

A significant amendment now requires companies to disclose their beneficial owners—individuals who:

  • Own at least 25% of company shares.
  • Have significant control over business decisions.

Consequences of non-compliance: Failure to report beneficial owners can result in:

  • Hefty fines.
  • Legal action against company directors.

Solution: Income tax consultancy services can help businesses identify, document, and report beneficial ownership correctly, keeping them safe from legal risks.

Capital Gains Tax (CGT) Adjustments

The recent amendments also impact Capital Gains Tax (CGT), affecting:

  • Sale of shares and securities – Both listed and unlisted companies.
  • Real estate transactions – Stricter rules on reporting property sales and purchases.

What businesses should do: Strategic tax planning is key. Through tax consultants in Pakistan, companies can restructure their investments to reduce CGT exposure while staying compliant.

Tougher Penalties for Non-Compliance

The government has introduced stricter penalties for violations of corporate laws, including:

  • Late tax return filings – Resulting in increased fines.
  • Failure to disclose beneficial ownership – Risking business deregistration.
  • Inaccurate financial reporting – Triggering audits and further investigations.

Pro tip: Regular internal audits and compliance checks—led by professional income tax consultancy—can protect your business from costly penalties.

How These Amendments Affect Your Business

Tax Planning

  • SMEs must now reassess their tax strategies to benefit from reduced corporate tax rates.
  • Companies should explore ways to lower CGT by restructuring their investments.

Business Compliance

  • Firms must ensure their tax returns are e-filed on time.
  • Accurate beneficial ownership records must be maintained and submitted.

Financial Management

  • Non-compliance fines highlight the importance of proper record-keeping and transparent financial reporting.

Ignoring these changes could mean paying higher taxes, missing deductions, or facing legal risks. To stay ahead, many businesses are collaborating with tax consultants in Pakistan to manage their tax and corporate obligations.

Why You Need Tax Consultants in Pakistan

Handling corporate law amendments can be complex, but professional tax consultants in Pakistan offer the expertise needed to navigate these changes. Here’s how they help:

  • Tax Optimization: Identifying deductions, exemptions, and credits to reduce tax burdens.
  • Compliance Management: Ensuring companies meet all reporting requirements and deadlines.
  • Income Tax Consultancy: Assisting with e-filing, beneficial ownership disclosures, and CGT planning.
  • Audit Preparation: Conducting internal audits to catch and fix compliance issues before tax authorities intervene.

With their knowledge of local tax laws, these experts make sure businesses not only meet legal obligations but also maximize tax efficiency.

Conclusion: Stay Compliant, Save Taxes

The latest amendments in Pakistan’s corporate laws have brought important changes to tax rates, reporting requirements, and compliance rules. Whether you run an SME or a large corporation, staying informed and proactive is key to avoiding penalties and optimizing tax strategies.

By partnering with trusted tax consultants in Pakistan and using income tax consultancy services, businesses can adapt to these legal changes smoothly.

Staying compliant today ensures financial efficiency and business success in the future.

Income Tax Filing in Pakistan: How Tax Consultants Simplify the Process

Tax season in Pakistan can be a stressful time for individuals and businesses alike. The complexities of tax laws, constant updates in regulations, and the pressure of meeting deadlines make income tax filing a daunting task for many. However, with the expertise of a tax consultant, navigating this intricate process becomes significantly easier. In this blog, we will delve into how tax consultants simplify income tax filing in Pakistan and why opting for Income Tax Consultancy services is essential for taxpayers.

Understanding Income Tax Filing in Pakistan

Income tax filing is a mandatory requirement for individuals and businesses earning above a specified threshold in Pakistan. The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) oversees the process, ensuring compliance with tax laws. Taxpayers must declare their income, expenses, and deductions within the prescribed timeline to avoid penalties or legal complications.

However, the tax filing process can be challenging due to:

  • Frequent changes in tax laws and regulations.
  • Complex forms and documentation requirements.
  • Understanding applicable tax deductions and exemptions.

This is where the expertise of a tax consultant becomes invaluable.

Who is a Tax Consultant?

A tax consultant is a financial professional with specialized knowledge of tax laws, regulations, and filing procedures. They assist individuals and businesses in managing their tax obligations efficiently, ensuring compliance with FBR requirements. Income Tax Consultancy services provided by these experts include tax planning, documentation, filing, and representation in case of audits.

How Tax Consultants Simplify Income Tax Filing

1. Expert Knowledge of Tax Laws

Tax consultants stay updated on the latest tax laws and amendments introduced by the government. This expertise allows them to provide accurate advice tailored to the unique circumstances of each taxpayer. For instance, they can identify tax deductions and exemptions you may qualify for, reducing your overall tax liability.

2. Accurate Calculation of Taxes

Filing income tax requires precise calculations to avoid discrepancies that could lead to fines or audits. A tax consultant ensures that all calculations are accurate, taking into account income sources, allowable expenses, and applicable deductions.

3. Simplified Documentation Process

One of the most tedious aspects of tax filing is organizing and submitting the required documents. These may include:

  • Salary slips or income statements.
  • Bank statements.
  • Proof of investments or expenses.
  • Previous tax returns.

A tax consultant streamlines this process by guiding you on what documents are needed and ensuring they are submitted correctly.

4. Timely Filing of Returns

Meeting deadlines is crucial when filing income tax returns. Missing the deadline can result in penalties or legal complications. Tax consultants ensure that your returns are filed well before the due date, giving you peace of mind.

5. Representation During Audits

If your tax return is selected for an audit by the FBR, a tax consultant can represent you, ensuring that the process is handled smoothly. Their expertise helps in addressing FBR queries, resolving discrepancies, and minimizing potential penalties.

6. Tailored Tax Planning

Effective tax planning is essential for reducing tax liabilities. Tax consultants provide personalized tax strategies based on your income, expenses, and financial goals. This includes:

  • Identifying tax-saving opportunities.
  • Advising on investments or expenditures that qualify for deductions.
  • Planning for future tax obligations.

7. Stress-Free Experience

By handling all aspects of income tax filing, tax consultants relieve taxpayers of the stress associated with the process. Their professional approach ensures that all legal and financial requirements are met, leaving no room for errors.

Benefits of Hiring a Tax Consultant in Pakistan

For Individuals:

  1. Maximized Refunds: Tax consultants help individuals claim all eligible deductions, increasing their tax refunds.
  2. Simplified Process: They handle complex tax forms and ensure accurate filing.
  3. Compliance Assurance: Tax consultants ensure that individuals comply with FBR regulations, avoiding penalties.

For Businesses:

  1. Efficient Tax Management: Businesses benefit from professional tax planning and reduced liabilities.
  2. Audit Support: Tax consultants provide expert representation during audits, safeguarding the company’s interests.
  3. Focus on Core Operations: By outsourcing tax filing, businesses can concentrate on their core activities while ensuring tax compliance.

Why Income Tax Consultancy Services are Essential

Given the complexities of Pakistan’s tax system, Income Tax Consultancy services are a necessity rather than a luxury. Here’s why:

  1. Compliance with Legal Requirements: Income tax laws in Pakistan are subject to frequent changes. Tax consultants stay abreast of these updates, ensuring that taxpayers remain compliant.
  2. Minimized Risk of Errors: Errors in tax filing can lead to audits, penalties, or legal actions. Tax consultants’ expertise minimizes the risk of mistakes, ensuring accurate and error-free returns.
  3. Cost-Effective Solution: While hiring a tax consultant involves a fee, the cost is often outweighed by the tax savings they secure through effective planning and deductions.
  4. Time-Saving: Income tax filing can be a time-consuming process, especially for those unfamiliar with the procedures. Tax consultants handle the entire process efficiently, saving valuable time for their clients.
  5. Peace of Mind: Knowing that a professional is managing your tax obligations provides peace of mind, allowing you to focus on your personal or business priorities.

How to Choose the Right Tax Consultant in Pakistan

When selecting a tax consultant, consider the following:

  • Experience: Look for a consultant with a proven track record in income tax filing and consultancy.
  • Reputation: Seek recommendations or reviews from previous clients to gauge their reliability.
  • Knowledge: Ensure they are well-versed in Pakistan’s tax laws and FBR regulations.
  • Cost: Compare fees among consultants, keeping in mind the value of their services.

Conclusion

Income tax filing in Pakistan can be a complex and overwhelming task, but it doesn’t have to be. With the assistance of a professional tax consultant, individuals and businesses can navigate the process with ease. From ensuring compliance with FBR regulations to maximizing tax savings, the benefits of hiring a tax consultant are undeniable.

Investing in Income Tax Consultancy services not only simplifies the tax filing process but also provides peace of mind, knowing that your financial matters are in capable hands. Whether you are an individual taxpayer or a business owner, a tax consultant is your trusted partner in achieving tax compliance and financial success.

How to Register Your Business with FBR in Pakistan

Registering your business with the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) in Pakistan is a crucial step in ensuring compliance with national tax regulations. Whether you’re starting a new venture or formalizing an existing one, understanding the process will help you avoid legal complications and position your business for growth. In this guide, we will walk you through the steps to register your business with FBR while organically incorporating insights on Income Tax Consultancy and corporate finance to help you make informed decisions.

Why Register Your Business with FBR?

Registering with FBR ensures your business is legally recognized and eligible to operate within Pakistan’s regulatory framework. It also enables you to:

  1. File income tax returns.
  2. Claim tax rebates and benefits.
  3. Establish credibility with stakeholders.
  4. Access corporate finance opportunities, such as loans and investments.

By working with a professional Income Tax Consultancy, you can simplify this process and ensure compliance with all requirements.

Step-by-Step Guide to Business Registration with FBR

Step 1: Determine Your Business Type

Before registration, identify the type of business you want to register:

  • Sole Proprietorship
  • Partnership
  • Private Limited Company

Each structure has different registration and tax implications. If you’re unsure which category suits your business, seeking advice from an Income Tax Consultancy can provide clarity.

Step 2: Obtain an NTN (National Tax Number)

The National Tax Number (NTN) is mandatory for all businesses to file taxes. Here’s how to apply:

  1. Visit the FBR Website: Access the FBR’s e-portal (https://www.fbr.gov.pk).
  2. Create an Account: Use your CNIC (for individuals) or company details (for businesses).
  3. Submit Required Documents:
    • CNIC of the business owner or partners.
    • Business address and contact information.
    • Bank account details.
    • Proof of ownership or tenancy agreement for business premises.
  4. Verification: The system will verify your information, and you’ll receive your NTN online.

Step 3: Register for Sales Tax (If Applicable)

If your business deals with goods or services subject to sales tax, you must register for Sales Tax with FBR. The process includes:

  1. Logging into the FBR e-portal.
  2. Submitting additional details, including:
    • Type of goods/services.
    • Estimated turnover.
  3. Receiving your Sales Tax Registration Number (STRN).

Step 4: File for STRIVE (Single Taxpayer Registration Identification Verification Enquiry)

The STRIVE system streamlines the verification process for businesses. This ensures transparency and facilitates your access to essential corporate finance tools by maintaining accurate tax records.

Step 5: Maintain Compliance

After registering, it’s vital to:

  • File your income tax returns annually.
  • Submit sales tax returns (if applicable).
  • Keep updated financial records to ease audits and financial reporting.

By engaging an Income Tax Consultancy, you can focus on your core business activities while ensuring your tax obligations are met.

Benefits of FBR Registration for Businesses

  1. Access to Financial Markets: Registered businesses are better positioned to secure funding and manage corporate finance efficiently.
  2. Tax Benefits: Filers enjoy reduced tax rates and exemptions.
  3. Business Growth: Compliance builds trust with partners and customers.

Conclusion

Registering your business with FBR is not just a legal requirement but a strategic move to establish credibility and unlock growth opportunities. Leveraging expert advice from an Income Tax Consultancy can make the process seamless and stress-free. Additionally, maintaining compliance positions your business to benefit from government incentives and access critical corporate finance tools.

Take the first step today by registering your business with FBR and setting the foundation for success!

How Tax Compliance Helps Build a Stronger Economy for Pakistan

Tax compliance plays a vital role in strengthening Pakistan’s economy by ensuring that the government has the necessary resources to invest in development projects, provide public services, and build a self-reliant nation. Despite the challenges, encouraging tax compliance among individuals and businesses can pave the way for a brighter future for Pakistan. This article explores the importance of tax compliance and how it contributes to economic growth, highlighting key services like corporate tax planning, income tax consultancy, and sales tax advisory.

Understanding Tax Compliance

Tax compliance refers to the process of accurately reporting income and paying taxes according to the laws and regulations set by the government. In Pakistan, tax compliance ensures that individuals and businesses contribute their fair share to the national treasury, enabling the government to fund essential services such as education, healthcare, infrastructure, and security.

Unfortunately, Pakistan has one of the lowest tax-to-GDP ratios in the region, which hampers the country’s ability to achieve sustainable economic growth. Addressing this issue through better awareness and improved services like taxation for businesses and income tax consultancy can help bridge the gap.

The Role of Taxation Services in Pakistan’s Economy

Taxation services play a critical role in simplifying the tax compliance process for individuals and businesses. They provide expert guidance and strategic planning to ensure that taxpayers meet their obligations efficiently. Let’s take a closer look at some key taxation services and their impact on the economy:

1. Taxation for Businesses

Businesses are a major source of tax revenue in Pakistan. Tax compliance among businesses is essential to create a level playing field and foster economic growth. Taxation services for businesses ensure that companies:

  • Accurately report their income and expenses.
  • Understand their tax liabilities.
  • Avoid penalties by meeting deadlines.

By helping businesses comply with tax laws, these services contribute to a fair and transparent economic system, which ultimately benefits the entire nation.

2. Corporate Tax Planning

Corporate tax planning is a specialized service that helps businesses minimize their tax liabilities while staying within the legal framework. Effective corporate tax planning ensures:

  • Optimal use of tax deductions and credits.
  • Proper structuring of financial transactions to reduce tax burdens.
  • Alignment with the long-term financial goals of the company.

When businesses engage in corporate tax planning, they can allocate more resources to expand operations, create jobs, and contribute to economic development.

3. Income Tax Consultancy

Income tax consultancy is invaluable for both individuals and businesses. Consultants provide personalized advice on:

  • Filing income tax returns.
  • Managing tax deductions.
  • Resolving tax disputes with authorities.

This service simplifies the complex process of income tax compliance, encouraging more people to participate in the tax system. Increased participation boosts government revenues, enabling more investment in public services.

4. Sales Tax Advisory

Sales tax is an important source of revenue for the government, collected on goods and services. Sales tax advisory services help businesses:

  • Understand their obligations under sales tax laws.
  • File accurate sales tax returns.
  • Manage input and output taxes effectively.

Efficient sales tax compliance reduces disputes and ensures a steady flow of revenue to the government, which can be used for national development projects.

Benefits of Tax Compliance for Pakistan’s Economy

1. Increased Revenue for Development

When individuals and businesses comply with tax laws, the government can collect more revenue to invest in critical areas such as:

  • Building roads, bridges, and transportation networks.
  • Improving education and healthcare systems.
  • Enhancing national security and law enforcement.

These investments not only improve the quality of life but also attract foreign investments, creating a positive cycle of economic growth.

2. Reduced Reliance on Foreign Aid

Tax compliance reduces Pakistan’s dependency on foreign aid and loans. A self-reliant economy can make independent decisions, strengthen its financial stability, and gain greater respect on the global stage.

3. Economic Equality

A fair tax system ensures that everyone contributes according to their income and capacity. This reduces income inequality and promotes social justice, creating a more harmonious society.

4. Encourages Foreign Investment

A transparent and well-regulated tax system builds investor confidence. Foreign investors are more likely to invest in a country where tax compliance is high and tax policies are predictable, contributing to job creation and economic growth.

Overcoming Tax Compliance Challenges in Pakistan

Despite its importance, tax compliance in Pakistan faces several challenges, such as:

  • Lack of awareness among taxpayers.
  • Complex tax laws and procedures.
  • Corruption and inefficiencies in the tax collection system.

To address these issues, the government and private sector must work together to:

  • Simplify tax filing processes through digital platforms.
  • Raise awareness about the benefits of tax compliance.
  • Strengthen enforcement mechanisms to discourage tax evasion.

Conclusion

Tax compliance is the cornerstone of a strong and self-reliant economy. By embracing taxation services, businesses and individuals can fulfill their obligations while contributing to Pakistan’s development. Services like corporate tax planning, income tax consultancy, and sales tax advisory make it easier for taxpayers to comply with laws and avoid penalties.

A collective effort to promote tax compliance will not only boost government revenues but also foster economic equality, reduce reliance on foreign aid, and attract foreign investments. Together, we can build a stronger economy for Pakistan by recognizing the pivotal role of tax compliance in nation-building.

IMF Conditions Keep Dollar Overvalued, Fueling Inflation in Pakistan

ISLAMABAD: A market-based exchange rate policy imposed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) over the past two years has kept the US dollar significantly overvalued against the Pakistani rupee, according to a report by Tola Associates, a tax advisory firm. This overvaluation, estimated at 24% or Rs67 above its real value, has exacerbated inflation and increased interest payments.

In its Economy Alert note, the firm argued that, without the IMF’s condition, the rupee-dollar exchange rate would have averaged Rs211.5 by October’s end. Instead, the rupee’s value has weakened substantially, trading at around Rs278 per dollar in the fiscal year 2023-24.

Economic Consequences of Overvaluation

Tola Associates estimated the real average value of the rupee based on fiscal data from 2022-23, 2023-24, and the first four months of the current fiscal year. The firm highlighted that adjusting the exchange rate to this real value could have transformative economic benefits.

For instance, with the rupee trading at Rs211.5 per dollar, inflation for the July-October period, which averaged 8.7%, could have turned into a deflationary trend of 4.67%. Lower inflation would have allowed the government to cut interest rates to below 2%, saving approximately Rs6.4 trillion in debt repayments and creating fiscal space for development initiatives.

A mere 1% drop in interest rates could reduce domestic debt repayment by Rs475 billion in the current fiscal year, the firm estimated.

Government and Central Bank Perspectives

The State Bank of Pakistan, responsible for exchange rate management, insists that the current rupee-dollar parity aligns with market expectations. However, critics argue the central bank has maintained an artificially high exchange rate of Rs278 to a dollar, worsening inflation and increasing the debt burden.

Former finance minister and current Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar claimed that the rupee’s value should not exceed Rs240 per dollar based on economic fundamentals. Dar, a long-time opponent of a flexible exchange rate, argued that such policies harm both the economy and the public.

According to Dar, the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)—which adjusts the rupee’s value for inflation relative to other currencies—suggested the rupee should trade between Rs235 and Rs240 per dollar in September.

The Role of the IMF

The IMF’s $7 billion loan program prioritizes exchange rate flexibility to absorb economic shocks and rebuild foreign reserves. This policy aims to stabilize monetary conditions and improve competitiveness.

However, critics argue that the IMF’s rigid conditions have led to negative consequences. Tola Associates pointed out that in September 2022, the rupee was trading at Rs238 per dollar under IMF conditions. However, when Ishaq Dar assumed office as finance minister, the dollar’s value dropped to Rs218 without any significant economic changes.

The central bank, meanwhile, has taken advantage of the undervalued rupee, purchasing over $6 billion from the open market in the last fiscal year. In July alone, it bought $722 million, primarily due to the artificially high exchange rate.

A Path Forward

Proponents of a stable currency argue for a shift in exchange rate policy. Tola Associates suggests that adopting the real average value of Rs211.5 per dollar could significantly reduce inflation, lower interest rates, and unlock fiscal resources for economic growth.

As the debate continues, the IMF’s market-based exchange rate policy remains a contentious issue, with critics emphasizing the need for a balanced approach that supports economic stability and public welfare.